felixbluindustries wrote:I agree they will never drop but someone said they would level out around 110mil... seeing that it is now DOUBLE that I think we need a new prediction and how its predicted... i cant afford 6bil per month for 40 extra buildings... i barely earn that much!
Well, now it went up fast.
But it did that some time ago to when it went up to the 110M point.
It was around 40M and suddenly it was 90M.
Then it was there for some time, it was 110M only for a few days but then someone flooded the market with coins at 100M.
That guy obviously ran out, the people buying coins had a small stock due to him and didn't really need to pay more then 100M for some time.
Next thing was people needing coins again so they started buying and outbidding eachother again which made the price rise to 200M in no time.
Why?
Just because some NEED coins and want to make sure they get them asap.
They don't have some backup coins and their premium runs out.
So its either boosting the price to get the coins you need for premium within a few days or you need patience.
Them not having the patience made the price skyrocket once more.
Its pure market system that is making this happen.
Over here we call it "varkenscyclus" which is "pig cycle" if i translate it.
When price goes up, more people want to buy so price goes up even more.
At some point people don't want to buy and more gets offered so price drops, but due to price dropping nobody is buying anymore...
With coins however, they won't get lost when you don't sell, so there will be a status quo untill people REALLY need coins again.
Why sell below the market when you can wait for offers that will come anyway?
So we had the 90M status quo some time ago untill everybody ran out of coins again and now the price went up again.
My prediction.
I see someone offering coins at 200M.
I doubt he'll sell them, but it will make others raise their price to.
Coins will get sold at 150M, people can make a profit of 150 a day on the 40 buildings, so they will be willing to continue paying that.
We'll have a status qou on the 150M, maybe 175M for a few months, then the 200M will be broken.
Why does price keep rising?
People get larger buildings, thus more profit, enabling them to pay more for their 40 extra buildings.
200M x 20 coins = 4B/month profit needed.
4B/40 buildings = 100M/building/month.
100M/30 days = 3.3M profit per building/day.
3.3M profit isn't that much.
I know a power producer with 32K plants in red will make a 10M profit daily each plant.
using that info maximum coin price would be:
10M x 30 days x 40 buildings
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20 coins
10M x 30 = 300M
300M x 40 = 12B
12B / 20 = 600M
So maximum price for a power producer would be 600M/coin.
However, the guy wouldn't make a profit anymore at that point!!
Is 600M the maximum coin price?
NO!
Power plants aren't the best business.
Currently Mines can make a better profit at maximum size.
Shops can even get a better profit, don't know how much is the best, but i think i've seen someone writing he would make a 3M profit/day on 2000m jewelers.
So a 32000m jeweler would then give 16x that profit being 48M daily profit.
Using the 48M profit, i'll just make it 50M, in a calculation:
50x30x40/20= 3B each coin.
That would make 3B the maximum value of coins.
However, the 3M profit/day on 2000m building is only an assumption.
Maybe others can get better info on the maximum profit on a building.